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Manager, Forecasting Models - Retail & Small Business

Scotiabank

Toronto, ON

Manager, Forecasting Models - Retail & Small Business

Scotiabank

Toronto, ON
Salary: Information not available

Job description

 

 

 

Requisition ID: 269885 

Join a purpose driven winning team, committed to results, in an inclusive and high-performing culture.

 

As a Manager, you will report directly to a Senior Manager or Director and be a critical member of a team overseeing a portfolio of forecasting models and analytic processes. You will support – from conception through execution and governance – the regulatory capital (AIRB) models covering all of the Bank’s retail and small business product lines. You will collaborate, on a regular basis, with a wide range of stakeholders and internal partners including Provisioning, Model Operations, Finance, Collections, Model Validation and Governance, Technology & Data, Compliance and Audit.

 

You will have access to both traditional SAS tools and a modern machine learning stack that includes on-premise GPU computing, open source Jupyter development environments, a Hadoop cluster, containerized API model deployment and data visualization business intelligence tools.Under the guidance of your Director, your team of risk modeling experts will use these tools to develop advanced risk prediction and loss estimation forecasting models that will be used to make decisions worth $billions every month and therefore they need to be not only precise and accurate, but highly stable, explainable, compliant, secure and useful. You will be responsible for understanding the goals & priorities set for you, executing them efficiently with a perpetual eye on quality, asking questions often and delivering results in harmony with your teammates.

 

 

 

Is this role right for you? In this role, you will:

 

  • Lead with integrity and are committed to doing the right thing, the right way.
  • Combine intellectual curiosity with practical problem-solving to drive meaningful outcomes.
  • Embrace ambitious goals and take ownership of delivering measurable results.
  • Enjoy collaborating with diverse stakeholders and learning from colleagues across different functions, backgrounds, and technical skillsets.
  • Appreciate the responsibility that comes with developing models that directly influence the Bank's financial and regulatory reporting.
  • Can interpret complex regulatory requirements and identify opportunities to enhance efficiency while maintaining the highest standards of compliance.
  • Possess a strong understanding of credit risk fundamentals, including PD, LGD, EAD, and RWA, and can apply these concepts across a variety of portfolios and products.
  • Have a passion for programming, analytics, data, and predictive modeling, and enjoy solving complex business challenges through quantitative methods.
  • Hold yourself to a high standard of quality, rigor, and governance in both your analytical work and decision-making.
  • Communicate complex concepts clearly and effectively through both written and verbal presentations.
  • Bring energy, professionalism, and a collaborative spirit to everything you do while enjoying the journey along the way.

 

 

 

Do you have the skills that will enable you to succeed in this role? - We'd love to work with you if you have:

 

  • Bachelor’s Degree in Mathematics, Computer Science, Engineering or an equivalent technical field
  • A demonstrated history of analytic problem solving and sound judgment 
  • Experience as an analyst or data scientist with a track record of accomplishments working on cross-functional teams
  • Strong English-language verbal and written communications skills: the ability to distill abstract business requirements into analysis, concisely convey technical outcomes, tell a story visually with data, prepare and edit high-quality documentation and be accepted as a trusted advisor by peers
  • Able to work remotely and on-site on multiple activities simultaneously and meet deadlines.
  • Strong fundamental understanding of statistics
  • 2+ years of overall experience in analytic roles developing and using predictive, risk and/or forecasting models
  • Highly proficient in 1 or more analytical programming languages (Python, R, SAS, etc.), SQL (Teradata, Oracle, DB2, SQL Server) and multiple environments (Unix & Windows)
  • 1 or more years of experience with big data platforms / integration (Hadoop, Spark, Hive, Avro)
  • Knowledge about credit risk models / scorecards

 

 Skills considered an asset are the following:

  • Proficient reading, writing and speaking Spanish
  • Experience with credit risk forecasting and/or financial reporting frameworks
  • Experience developing credit risk models / scorecards
  • Experience working within loss forecasting, AIRB or IFRS9 frameworks
  • Domain expertise with any retail & small business banking products and/or risk management practices
  • FRM, CFA credentials
  • Experience training and deploying machine learning models using common Python open source frameworks (i.e., scikit-learn) and/or Python DevOps
  • Microsoft Office (Excel, Word, PowerPoint, Teams, PowerBI) power user
  • Experience working with FICO / TSYS / CGI decision systems (TRIAD, OM, ACE, CACS)

 

 

 

What’s in it for you?

 

  • An inclusive & collaborative working environment that encourages creativity, curiosity, and celebrates success!
  • We offer a competitive rewards package: Performance bonus, Employee Share Ownership Program, and Pension Plan Matching, Health Benefits from day one!
  • Your career matters! You will have access to career development and progression opportunities.

 

 

Location(s):  Canada : Ontario : Toronto 

Scotiabank is a leading bank in the Americas. Guided by our purpose: "for every future", we help our customers, their families and their communities achieve success through a broad range of advice, products and services, including personal and commercial banking, wealth management and private banking, corporate and investment banking, and capital markets.  

At Scotiabank, we value the unique skills and experiences each individual brings to the Bank, and are committed to creating and maintaining an inclusive and accessible environment for everyone. If you require accommodation (including, but not limited to, an accessible interview site, alternate format documents, ASL Interpreter, or Assistive Technology) during the recruitment and selection process, please let our  Recruitment team know. If you require technical assistance, please click here. Candidates must apply directly online to be considered for this role. We thank all applicants for their interest in a career at Scotiabank; however, only those candidates who are selected for an interview will be contacted.

We are committed to hiring military and Veteran spouses and encourage you to identify your connection with the MSEN when reaching out to us or applying to any of our open roles.

 

Have questions or want to learn more about us? We would love to hear from you!

 

rochelle.mendonca@scotiabank.com

 

Whenever possible, reach out to a named contact rather than a general inbox  - it helps ensure a quicker, more personalized response. If you hit a bounce-back, let us know at

employment.Emploi@cfmws.com

About Scotiabank

The Scotiabank Veterans Network (SVN) is committed to supporting veterans, reservists, and military spouses by recognizing and valuing their unique skills and experiences. As a military-friendly employer, Scotiabank actively promotes the integration of veterans into civilian careers by offering a wide range of employment opportunities across the Bank.  SVN plays a key role in this effort, leading initiatives such as a mentorship program designed to support both current and transitioning veterans.

The team was instrumental in driving recent enhancements to Scotiabank’s reservist leave policy and organized the inaugural Valour and Vision Expo in Q4 2024, where industry leaders pledged to support veterans entering the civilian workforce.  In February 2025, Scotiabank proudly served as the lead Banking Sponsor of the Invictus Games, an international multi-sport event that aids in the rehabilitation of wounded, injured, and ill service members—both active and retired.

Additionally, SVN hosts a variety of events throughout the year, including leadership symposiums and annual Remembrance Day ceremonies, to honor and support the military community.

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